The rise and fall of Silicon Valley Bank

‍

A bank run on Silicon Valley Bank

Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) was founded in 1983 and headquartered in Santa Clara, California. It prided itself on being the bank of choice for Silicon Valley’s elites — the venture capitalists and their portfolio companies, namely tech start-ups and early stage tech companies.

As Silicon Valley and its occupants grew, SVB grew with the community it had helped to nurture and support. The surge in VC funding in the past few years channelled assets and deposits into SVB. The bank grew more than US$100 billion from US$71 billion in 2019 to about US$191 billion in the first quarter of 2022.  About US$10 billion of that growth came from its acquisition of Boston-based Boston Private Financial Holdings and the rest was acquired organically. Its total shareholder return from 2015 to 2020 was an astounding 226%.

Because its assets had grown so fast, it ended up with a far larger deposit base than its loan book. This meant that SVB had to invest in other interest-rate bearing instruments to put its assets to work. At the end of 2021, it had ended up investing about US$128 billion into mortgage bonds and US Treasury bonds.

As the Fed implemented interest rate hikes, a few things happened:

• Venture capital funding dried up and SVB’s clients started drawing on their deposits
• Some clients started to move their money from SVB to other higher interest paying accounts and instruments
• SVB’s portfolio of long-term bonds bought at the peak when interest rates were much lower were now impacted by the higher interest rates and had taken a hit on their market value.

On that fateful March 8, SVB announced that it needed to raise US$2.25 billion to bolster its balance sheet. Its share price declined by 60% after the news. This led to a frenzied withdrawal of deposits by its clients, sparking a bank run. All in all, a total of US$42 billion in deposits was withdrawn in the span of a couple of days. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) announced on Friday, 10 March, that SVB had failed.

On March 13, FDIC announced that another bank, Signature Bank, based out of New York, had failed. The US government had also stepped in to reassure depositors and the markets that they would backstop all deposits for SVB and Signature Bank, as well as First Republic Bank (another bank that might be in danger of a bank run). This served to allay some fears of further ripple effect into the broader markets and parts of the economy.

Limited direct impact from SVB’s failure on your investments

Endowus had reached out to our partners and the fund managers that we work with to determine the exposure of the funds on our platform to SVB. 

Out of the over 150 funds we have on the platform, only 10 had small exposures with positions ranging from 0.04% to 2.4%. This level of exposure is low and should be reassuring to clients as this meant that there would not be much impact on their investments from direct exposure to SVB. 

As of March 13, new developments are still emerging and the full impact of the SVB fall-out is not clear yet.

Diversification is key — the Endowus Core Portfolio stands its ground amid higher volatility

‍

As these market shocks show, it is hard to predict where and when the next hit is likely to come from. If you had invested in any one of the five stocks above aside from Microsoft, it would have manifested into a significant paper loss. To ride this volatility, Endowus advocates investing in portfolios that are diversified in terms of number of holdings, sectors, countries, and market capitalisation. That means exposure to tens of thousands of stocks. 

Apart from diversifying your equity sleeve, having some fixed income in your portfolio may also help cushion some of the downside risks of equity. Even though we saw correlations between equity and fixed income increase in 2022, the events in the past week show us again that fixed income can indeed be a powerful diversifier to an equity portfolio.

When you are investing to build wealth, it is important to have a core, diversified portfolio to invest into on a regular basis to grow wealth over the longer term without taking unnecessary concentration risk. In a passive and globally diversified portfolio, the collapse of SVB has no real meaningful impact.

Let’s think about diversification in another context, outside of investments. For example, you can consider where you park your bank deposits (which we now know are typically loaned out.) It is about not putting all your eggs in one basket — i.e. in one company, one stock — but spreading your risk out across companies, sectors, geography, and factors to diversify your risk. 

How can I manage my cash for short-term needs?

For more liquid short-term money that could be used as an alternative to bank fixed deposits, we have made available to our investors a growing range of short-term liquidity funds and treasury management solutions for individuals, corporates and family offices. 

 Money market funds (MMFs) and cash funds (CFs) invest in a diversified set of bank fixed deposits, T-bills, and short-term debt instruments, and are being optimised by a fund manager to generate higher yields, and daily liquidity with no lock-ups. This is different from when you put your money in bank fixed deposits, T-bills, or SSBs directly, which may have lock-ups and penalties.

 In the US, MMFs have surpassed US$5 trillion, constituting more than 20% of the size of total bank deposits. With rising interest rates, they also offer attractive yields. Currently, MMFs and CFs can yield above 4% p.a. in SGD and above 5% p.a. in USD. To explore your options, please refer to the Endowus Investment Funds List.

With digital wealth platform Endowus, you can plan and manage your money — whether held in cash, CPF, or SRS — by investing in globally diversified, intelligent, low-cost portfolios seamlessly. To get started, click here.

<divider><divider>

Investment involves risk. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance or returns. The value of investments and the income from them can go down as well as up, and you may not get the full amount you invested. Rates of exchange may cause the value of investments to go up or down. Individual stock performance does not represent the return of a fund.

Any forward-looking statements, prediction, projection or forecast on the economy, stock market, bond market or economic trends of the markets contained in this material are subject to market influences and contingent upon matters outside the control of Endowus Singapore Pte. Ltd. (“Endowus”) and therefore may not be realised in the future. Further, any opinion or estimate is made on a general basis and subject to change without notice. In presenting the information above, none of Endowus, its affiliates, directors, employees, representatives or agents have given any consideration to, nor have made any investigation of the objective, financial situation or particular need of any user, reader, any specific person or group of persons. Therefore, no representation is made as to the completeness and adequacy of the information to make an informed decision. You should carefully consider (i) whether any investment views and products/ services are appropriate in view of your investment experience, objectives, financial resources and relevant circumstances. You may also wish to seek financial advice through a financial advisor or the Endowus platform and independent legal, accounting, regulatory or tax advice, as appropriate.

Investment into collective investment schemes: Please refer to respective funds’ prospectuses for details of the funds, their related fees, charges and risk factors. The listing of units of the fund on a stock exchange does not guarantee a liquid market for the units. Before making an investment decision, you are reminded to refer to the relevant prospectus for specific risk considerations.

For Cash Smart Secure, Cash Smart Enhanced, Cash Smart Ultra: It is not a bank deposit and not capital guaranteed, and is subject to investment risks, including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. Investment products are not insured products under the provisions of the Deposit Insurance and Policy Owners Protection Schemes Act 2011 of Singapore and are not eligible for deposit insurance coverage under the Deposit Insurance Scheme. Interest rates are indicative and subject to change at any time.

Product Risk Rating: Please note that any product risk rating (the “PRR”) provided by us is an internal rating assigned based on our product risk assessment model, and is for your reference only. The PRR is subject to change from time to time. The PRR does not take into account your individual circumstances, objectives or needs and should not be regarded as advice or recommendation to purchase, hold or sell any fund or make any other investment decisions. Accordingly, you should not solely rely on the PRR in making your investment decision in the relevant Fund.

This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.